Sunday, September 29, 2024

Bagnoncelli’s Poll: Approval for Melony Drops (slower than others). Pnrr and consensus on foreign policy, health issues and taxes

Date:

OffNando Bagnoncelli

Italians’ perceptions of the centre-right executive

Il Maloney Government He has been in office for almost two years, years full of complications and complications. So it’s time to explore his experience.

It is a government that merits various features, at least two of which are relevant in the eyes of the electorate: having A strong, female leaderFor the first time in the history of the Republic, and, as Georgia Meloney so plainly put it, true Close the experience of “technological” governments (The attribute is further given Draghi government also had a strong political presence), gave politics back its rightful place.




















































It is also the government that divides the minds of the electorate: at 2022 policies In fact, the parties making it received slightly less 44% Valid votes (relevant 25.6% of votersie only one in four voters), but Absolute majority in both Houses of Parliament.

in timesolution Appreciation of Govt 51 (An index that measures the percentage of positives among self-disclosers, excluding unknowns). Data alone is superior Governments of Gentiloni and Conte IIBut less than all other governments in the last fifteen years. So the start is not great.

However, the Maloney government seems average Less exposed to the wear and tear of others. In fact, after one year in office, if you look at the average consensus, the current government Loses four pointsApart from Gentiloni and Conte II, the others improved their positions a little more. If we look instead Consensus to Prime MinisterThe accolade for Georgia Maloney upon taking office was lower (sometimes slightly) than all the other governments, except The Gentiloni government. In this case, even after a year in office, while Meloney’s brief is below average for many other presidents (with the two typical exceptions highlighted above), his consensus is still lower than most. Conte, Draghi and Berlusconi.

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Finally, looking at the current data, the declines in value become more apparent: Minus seven points for the government, minus ten points for the Prime Minister As already underlined, it gradually associates itself with the government and loses its original character along with its driving force.

Within these declines are events that indicate some change in voter sentiment. Indeed, the government is increasingly losing consensus Low or medium-low status peoplein between Upper classes (entrepreneurs, managers, professionals) and self-employed workers, in North-East. These are phenomena with different symptoms: credit opening at low levels was initially already low and contracted strongly; Conversely, the estimate was initially very high among the upper class and the self-employed, and today it is in the mid-range. In essence, it seems that on the one hand there is a Disappointment for those who expected improvement in their personal situationOn the other hand, those who believed more in the opportunities that this government opened up and feel today, if not exactly, certainly very much Less confidence. In short, some fissures seem to be opening among the classes that have been most supportive of the government. Small wrinkles are seen in between Among high and middle-high economic conditions, observant Catholics, and those who position themselves in the center-right.

But what are the issues on which the government qualifies itself and which are negatively classified? Meanwhile, it has to be said that negative and in between positive ratings did not prevail in any of the topics tested. 20% and the 28% Interviewees do not reveal themselves, depending on the topics. Beyond the merits of the issues, the outcome, especially for issues of more “political” meaning, is influenced by the number of voters who recognize themselves in government parties that represent a relative majority of the country. .

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However, if we look at Average Executive Consensus (Code 44)Three themes appear to rate above or in line with this data: International Politics, Business Support, Pnrr. We have often spoken of international politics: this is perhaps the characteristic feature of President Maloney, and he is considered to have gained in this connection. Admirable ability and collected Successes that increased the weight and credibility of our country. We attribute this decision mainly to Georgia Meloney, and instead, there were several episodes that displayed sensitivity, if not different levels within the majority, that Meloney was able to keep quiet or in the background.

Another theme Business supportThis is exemplified by the president’s reception at the recent Confindustria assembly, in a widespread belief that this is a government closer to the world. Finally, the Pnrr attached to the appointment of the Minister (not yet firmly received). Rafael Fito A Executive Vice-President of the European Commission. The Recovery and Resilience Program is, in the eyes of the electorate, a central component of the country and the government’s actions in this regard are believed to be acceptable without enthusiasm.

In some other topics, negative comments are even higher, even if the number is slightly lower than the average rating of the administrator. They are, in descending order of appreciation, The theme of the work is the fight against the birth rate, the functioning of public administration, environmental change, civil rights and the protection of minorities, schools, infrastructure, immigration management.. As can be seen, the criticisms concern a wide range of issues, including strong, albeit unrecognized, aspects of government structure (Birth rate, immigration, civil rights)

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Finally, there are some topics Disagreement turns bitter: reduction Tax, Defense, Justice, Poverty, Pensions, Health. These also (Taxation, Justice and Security) Organizational Themes of Center-Right Political Proposal. Also, lastly, the central aspects of social security are represented by the two pillars of pensions and health.

In conclusion, Of course a balance with lights and shadows, but it allows for a certain disappointment compared to the initial expectations. There doesn’t seem to be any viable alternative, but it does indicate progressive discontent. To which, the government and the president must react.

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September 29, 2024 (Modified on September 29, 2024 | 07:23)

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